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Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Nur wenige frühere Spiele sind verfügbar.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Augsburg","homeTeam":"Eintracht Frankfurt","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83168,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4663,"dataQuality":"sparse","drawBasisPoints":3000,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.03333333333333333,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"form"},{"contribution":0.0,"direction":"neutral","strength":"none","type":"goalsScored"},{"contribution":-0.05,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalsConceded"},{"contribution":0.0,"direction":"neutral","strength":"none","type":"venue"},{"contribution":-0.20588235294117646,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"table"},{"contribution":0.007738095238095243,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"recovery"}],"homeBasisPoints":2337,"version":"v2.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-05T15:55:26.369845Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026 and /getbltable/bl1/2026","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"a4e0489ea44610f80648ffbcaffd2955a1e5ea3e09adb4ba98d05127e2148e99","hash":"09651db5ac9d0c2cb42274d84ae04d0d5a25fb6b0222c4bc88cb900466d7032a"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":0,"matchId":83172,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-05T18:25:26.370498Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"09651db5ac9d0c2cb42274d84ae04d0d5a25fb6b0222c4bc88cb900466d7032a","hash":"56172918568d6d2ea6a80be9d6a6caacbbb50db8748e49435215fc3dc602e82a"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83557,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-05T20:48:20.449956Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"56172918568d6d2ea6a80be9d6a6caacbbb50db8748e49435215fc3dc602e82a","hash":"1c9d5987563f7240e849df6d7428c3275df9b124b9fb66f7e932f3fdbea19e0a"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83556,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-06T13:48:20.450161Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"1c9d5987563f7240e849df6d7428c3275df9b124b9fb66f7e932f3fdbea19e0a","hash":"a70b4b9b2d0a6b545324f92243db6e9eab41b1fdec13343d59264864a440e404"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":0,"matchId":83560,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-06T13:48:20.450161Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"a70b4b9b2d0a6b545324f92243db6e9eab41b1fdec13343d59264864a440e404","hash":"89612b477a127aadc94afcef144da8cb9275185e567832647eae9723f9af888b"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":3,"matchId":83561,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-06T13:48:20.450161Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"89612b477a127aadc94afcef144da8cb9275185e567832647eae9723f9af888b","hash":"2755f55e7875d2b058c744118ddcc844b311904920db3f449075983e67c91b1c"},{"awayScore":5,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":0,"matchId":83170,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-06T15:48:20.450170Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"2755f55e7875d2b058c744118ddcc844b311904920db3f449075983e67c91b1c","hash":"1475cd1731aca01bd22248d3b698b97836e2276cdc4787d7acd868511aeb99de"},{"awayScore":4,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83168,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-06T17:48:20.450151Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"1475cd1731aca01bd22248d3b698b97836e2276cdc4787d7acd868511aeb99de","hash":"b8c37a12d24fe423890d7c2525f9d1367ae044da92026afd8158ae6802228062"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"DSC Arminia Bielefeld hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +5,82, -2,11 und -3,71 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"DSC Arminia Bielefeld","homeTeam":"SV Darmstadt 98","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83569,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2578,"baselineBasisPoints":[4066,2985,2949],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2774,"factors":[{"contribution":0.01152769470518233,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.003384464630644368,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4648,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-10T16:30:24.384286Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"b8c37a12d24fe423890d7c2525f9d1367ae044da92026afd8158ae6802228062","hash":"f9ee0cd60c88ce9a2d35143bbd96a65224220a5be4d59e35737ab5beefa2f57a"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Nürnberg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -4,64, +0,61 und +4,03 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hannover 96","homeTeam":"1. FC Nürnberg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83570,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2403,"baselineBasisPoints":[5469,2531,2000],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2592,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.001480110374282888,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1790969246767955,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.009825564768097523,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5005,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-10T16:30:24.384286Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"f9ee0cd60c88ce9a2d35143bbd96a65224220a5be4d59e35737ab5beefa2f57a","hash":"803e77fc6a31cd9985425b17af234b3c32eec57be261aa23afa686c356cd3224"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Schalke 04 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. FC Schalke 04 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +4,69, -1,49 und -3,20 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Schalke 04","homeTeam":"1. FC Union Berlin","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83180,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2825,"baselineBasisPoints":[3929,2926,3145],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2777,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.03294876569992149,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0358193849353591,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.020346138820139022,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4398,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-10T18:30:35.667438Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"803e77fc6a31cd9985425b17af234b3c32eec57be261aa23afa686c356cd3224","hash":"d9c4fa80d9f70ea83ea494f877be5cfa91d966451b0a52b1ffd7e13bcb5c2879"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Bochum liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. VfL Bochum hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,05, -0,28 und +1,33 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","homeTeam":"VfL Bochum","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83573,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2199,"baselineBasisPoints":[5341,2593,2066],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2565,"factors":[{"contribution":0.08879104344130472,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0358193849353591,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.02477088765889737,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5236,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T11:00:55.950684Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"d9c4fa80d9f70ea83ea494f877be5cfa91d966451b0a52b1ffd7e13bcb5c2879","hash":"0f14422c03375f758860e3e23717a001108fb1c75e6a463ebf339c3299e94679"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Kaiserslautern hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Kaiserslautern schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,55, -0,52 und -0,03 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Kaiserslautern","homeTeam":"1. FC Magdeburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83587,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3413,"baselineBasisPoints":[3742,2842,3416],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2790,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.01838519932423761,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.08954846233839775,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.02435441098957055,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3797,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T11:00:55.950684Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"0f14422c03375f758860e3e23717a001108fb1c75e6a463ebf339c3299e94679","hash":"026474017815e6aa572e450497d76cf6b0220b5061012d28563fe174cf938cf4"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Eintracht Braunschweig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,21, -1,76 und +3,97 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Dynamo Dresden","homeTeam":"Eintracht Braunschweig","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83588,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3064,"baselineBasisPoints":[4269,3064,2667],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2888,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.08029452576315292,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.08954846233839775,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.017045690872942325,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4048,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T11:00:55.950684Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"026474017815e6aa572e450497d76cf6b0220b5061012d28563fe174cf938cf4","hash":"c6ab30c5dfed0c752ff5a6bd9147a09d3c77ebeabb6cd5135a5974329024ec55"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Borussia Dortmund liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Borussia Dortmund hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -3,24, +2,53 und +0,71 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SC Paderborn 07","homeTeam":"Borussia Dortmund","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83174,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1380,"baselineBasisPoints":[6866,1825,1309],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2078,"factors":[{"contribution":0.16508381321488613,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1432775397414364,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.07312213980359107,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":6542,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T13:30:12.566059Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"c6ab30c5dfed0c752ff5a6bd9147a09d3c77ebeabb6cd5135a5974329024ec55","hash":"1bb5878acd858d3d9bf445c2b98e864b4723b278e43c5dd2f33ac46f97954015"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"VfB Stuttgart liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. VfB Stuttgart hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,08, -1,91 und +1,83 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfB Stuttgart","homeTeam":"TSG Hoffenheim","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83176,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3783,"baselineBasisPoints":[3617,2783,3600],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2592,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.09563863913196602,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0358193849353591,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.029134753402364856,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3625,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T13:30:12.566059Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"1bb5878acd858d3d9bf445c2b98e864b4723b278e43c5dd2f33ac46f97954015","hash":"53c6e8ae8bd9e62a3f0de31b1b592c46cdebe2ba4549376ffd8f5e5c1deeb806"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"SC Freiburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. SC Freiburg schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,03, +0,23 und +0,80 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Borussia Mönchengladbach","homeTeam":"SC Freiburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83177,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1669,"baselineBasisPoints":[6287,2124,1589],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2147,"factors":[{"contribution":0.03575027389669434,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.03829369212549243,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":6184,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T13:30:12.566059Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"53c6e8ae8bd9e62a3f0de31b1b592c46cdebe2ba4549376ffd8f5e5c1deeb806","hash":"9bf64eb81e195ac6c356064ba689973cac03f830625b1aea561367e140044f6a"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Bayer 04 Leverkusen liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,88, -1,07 und +3,95 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Bayer 04 Leverkusen","homeTeam":"FC Augsburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83178,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3610,"baselineBasisPoints":[3880,2905,3215],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2798,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.1730518674634351,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1074581548060773,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.03490581751400702,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3592,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T13:30:12.566059Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"9bf64eb81e195ac6c356064ba689973cac03f830625b1aea561367e140044f6a","hash":"e166865031fdb8a0218a188925a67ca5cab4de9542e2c38545a049ad288ce999"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"1. FSV Mainz 05 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FSV Mainz 05 schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -6,98, +0,76 und +6,22 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Eintracht Frankfurt","homeTeam":"1. FSV Mainz 05","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83179,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2431,"baselineBasisPoints":[5844,2347,1809],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2423,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.0013452923613240617,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.008830829667423502,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5146,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T13:30:12.566059Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"e166865031fdb8a0218a188925a67ca5cab4de9542e2c38545a049ad288ce999","hash":"c616ec3648273da7950b7134c500966e0e2559bf2338492e73de177ec680f491"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"SV Werder Bremen hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,71, -1,89 und +1,18 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV Werder Bremen","homeTeam":"1. FC Köln","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83181,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2961,"baselineBasisPoints":[4142,3015,2843],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2826,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.001056920975533645,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0358193849353591,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.001824669174708079,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4213,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T16:30:21.375301Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"c616ec3648273da7950b7134c500966e0e2559bf2338492e73de177ec680f491","hash":"f94c5864628268c07566ca4cc1b6a6439cb410bd22ccd6bcfa98a63f366f6485"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83569,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T18:30:06.327536Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"f94c5864628268c07566ca4cc1b6a6439cb410bd22ccd6bcfa98a63f366f6485","hash":"66c78583927793110d226ec85b9bb01679d6f514fa56396700f5ebf1e6637a51"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83570,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T18:30:06.327536Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"66c78583927793110d226ec85b9bb01679d6f514fa56396700f5ebf1e6637a51","hash":"217ba6e01eb35820b68540c6d65e5429840b2ed456fd695ed61486b7741f06ff"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Wolfsburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. VfL Wolfsburg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -5,75, -2,13 und +7,88 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfL Wolfsburg","homeTeam":"FC St. Pauli","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83565,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4486,"baselineBasisPoints":[3551,2751,3698],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2538,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.07008735417681754,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.08954846233839775,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.01571773879916137,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":2976,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T18:30:06.327536Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"217ba6e01eb35820b68540c6d65e5429840b2ed456fd695ed61486b7741f06ff","hash":"8fe2ef1eb25c33a2c45b993a99108fac840abae5f68f95604e6a322ce8e92a9f"},{"awayScore":3,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83180,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-11T21:00:42.445500Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"8fe2ef1eb25c33a2c45b993a99108fac840abae5f68f95604e6a322ce8e92a9f","hash":"ff23a93c478decb20ca11426bd690e4e020e978c5fa0b06e0e66a0f8263443d2"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Heidenheim 1846 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +2,91, -2,98 und +0,07 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Holstein Kiel","homeTeam":"1. FC Heidenheim 1846","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83567,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2198,"baselineBasisPoints":[5102,2707,2191],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2409,"factors":[{"contribution":0.03874024417473194,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.05372907740303865,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.022603887444082954,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5393,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T11:30:05.419622Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"ff23a93c478decb20ca11426bd690e4e020e978c5fa0b06e0e66a0f8263443d2","hash":"a1c918e8c5f24b55d148d1d9198a3385bac7d48c01d249fb813453f94441271d"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Die bisherigen Daten geben keiner Seite einen klaren Vorteil. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,45, -3,64 und +0,19 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Energie Cottbus","homeTeam":"Karlsruher SC","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83582,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2660,"baselineBasisPoints":[4288,3071,2641],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2707,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.0047124153909311895,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0,"direction":"neutral","strength":"none","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.0015599680787304973,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4633,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T11:30:05.419622Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"a1c918e8c5f24b55d148d1d9198a3385bac7d48c01d249fb813453f94441271d","hash":"db748d93fdcb7a7b176b15896ee55f4f3e95948f0bd289a57661b94f471986b1"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Hertha BSC hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Hertha BSC liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,58, -1,57 und +4,15 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hertha BSC","homeTeam":"VfL Osnabrück","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83589,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4291,"baselineBasisPoints":[3433,2691,3876],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2534,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.037868896423021145,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.1432775397414364,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.020847053784880692,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3175,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T11:30:05.419622Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"db748d93fdcb7a7b176b15896ee55f4f3e95948f0bd289a57661b94f471986b1","hash":"b08e1cb1abe1058bbfa7f4798148089c7293ee2b492351fe28835b7510ae0d1d"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83573,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T13:00:55.215872Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"b08e1cb1abe1058bbfa7f4798148089c7293ee2b492351fe28835b7510ae0d1d","hash":"f8657334e098dd308eb8108e24590b5556ec6846b8949e3f0e7551f95a0d5e79"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":3,"matchId":83587,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T13:00:55.215872Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"f8657334e098dd308eb8108e24590b5556ec6846b8949e3f0e7551f95a0d5e79","hash":"3677fe62fcc47ee48d35c8979b8956493c985cdd93210f4ed0e32dd0b817a014"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"RB Leipzig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. RB Leipzig liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,01, +0,41 und -0,40 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hamburger SV","homeTeam":"RB Leipzig","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83175,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1165,"baselineBasisPoints":[7086,1709,1205],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":1750,"factors":[{"contribution":0.15249905121887783,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.05148377889611032,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":7085,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:22.827249Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"3677fe62fcc47ee48d35c8979b8956493c985cdd93210f4ed0e32dd0b817a014","hash":"01a76dbbd3da6383294c85010c0c0547a40bf019146a119b2e95aaa391809730"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83588,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T13:30:22.827249Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"01a76dbbd3da6383294c85010c0c0547a40bf019146a119b2e95aaa391809730","hash":"b5eb867a5bda04b5a3bb6560ec8a50c6e089df82bc829c7197288aeefd1b3f83"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":3,"matchId":83174,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"b5eb867a5bda04b5a3bb6560ec8a50c6e089df82bc829c7197288aeefd1b3f83","hash":"ad618b089b79580adf47e92731fa50412b2491bea4e725bbba10c613014f3182"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":2,"matchId":83176,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"ad618b089b79580adf47e92731fa50412b2491bea4e725bbba10c613014f3182","hash":"a53a55361cf7d497d477ee3c987f5858b74a5006f60ce46cecaaad97d4c98524"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":5,"matchId":83177,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"a53a55361cf7d497d477ee3c987f5858b74a5006f60ce46cecaaad97d4c98524","hash":"329354bbda6e6135a2ceb8c92449bf08f94de7d105678a0ff8363dbf1c45eb8f"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":2,"matchId":83178,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"329354bbda6e6135a2ceb8c92449bf08f94de7d105678a0ff8363dbf1c45eb8f","hash":"eaf8b663ffd503d4e5646a3d8e06ec9dcd5b5ee81727fabd4b1922bcff3d9107"},{"awayScore":3,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83179,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"eaf8b663ffd503d4e5646a3d8e06ec9dcd5b5ee81727fabd4b1922bcff3d9107","hash":"3399f4c428381c1eb19ee84c89015957212c8ade91e48650a89844e5094f1289"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Bayern München liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. FC Bayern München schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,40, -0,90 und +3,30 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Bayern München","homeTeam":"SV 07 Elversberg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83182,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":6378,"baselineBasisPoints":[2077,1875,6048],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":1785,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.33769222382245756,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.10323994632223225,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":1837,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T15:30:16.990074Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"3399f4c428381c1eb19ee84c89015957212c8ade91e48650a89844e5094f1289","hash":"72dab638248fcf508d51f2002d93a6d261eef30b77d6d3929432716cdc315552"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83181,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T18:30:49.912762Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"72dab638248fcf508d51f2002d93a6d261eef30b77d6d3929432716cdc315552","hash":"26fc06f18fd3a497be0ce03f2d6cd8506b4c2b2b2f121f52b093d670c5caa9ab"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83565,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-12T20:30:44.773483Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"26fc06f18fd3a497be0ce03f2d6cd8506b4c2b2b2f121f52b093d670c5caa9ab","hash":"993f741d6fe2c1b83483024f6720b081c71b09284c10a92c3c549468c9bea9c5"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83567,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-13T13:30:56.204019Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"993f741d6fe2c1b83483024f6720b081c71b09284c10a92c3c549468c9bea9c5","hash":"445b5d23df41a30ce288ecb5dfa1020f87235285e8f2ffb5a7f015adceab6501"},{"awayScore":3,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":0,"matchId":83582,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-13T13:30:56.204019Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"445b5d23df41a30ce288ecb5dfa1020f87235285e8f2ffb5a7f015adceab6501","hash":"95b071ecf79042a481c79c460f6a0d62d5bff20e99329a5e010d8a9df5449a92"},{"awayScore":3,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83589,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-13T13:30:56.204019Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"95b071ecf79042a481c79c460f6a0d62d5bff20e99329a5e010d8a9df5449a92","hash":"f5e9d3a98eeb4a5227168a1e6c271aab61959900d7fc5f75f70538688b63033f"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":5,"matchId":83175,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-13T15:30:29.118420Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"f5e9d3a98eeb4a5227168a1e6c271aab61959900d7fc5f75f70538688b63033f","hash":"466910b96ed30f3a3cd93dd04034976a04eaac1144f09b9bba9158605f5e29b5"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83182,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-13T17:30:54.086620Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"466910b96ed30f3a3cd93dd04034976a04eaac1144f09b9bba9158605f5e29b5","hash":"92ad0e1745545c82f7563eface5f2ccad35cbd444727e79c6239ea0fa1b09f88"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Wolfsburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. VfL Wolfsburg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,03, -1,00 und +3,03 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV Darmstadt 98","homeTeam":"VfL Wolfsburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83591,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2417,"baselineBasisPoints":[5249,2637,2114],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2537,"factors":[{"contribution":0.023172842608011977,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.10029427781900548,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.012674681062315904,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5046,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-17T16:30:50.543129Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"92ad0e1745545c82f7563eface5f2ccad35cbd444727e79c6239ea0fa1b09f88","hash":"3174e2c83ed9a37fae2ce82055297804f2911e4d4168028f759551bde1ad86ec"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Magdeburg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. 1. FC Magdeburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -4,02, -2,06 und +6,08 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Magdeburg","homeTeam":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83606,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4276,"baselineBasisPoints":[3571,2761,3668],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2555,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.09377329714751927,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.05731101589657456,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.019836066945442144,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3169,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-17T16:30:50.543129Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"3174e2c83ed9a37fae2ce82055297804f2911e4d4168028f759551bde1ad86ec","hash":"b1b9b00c148dfd26723dada580c9e7f39660a333451f2ecc9ded65b276d143ed"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Bayern München liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. FC Bayern München hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,07, +0,12 und -0,19 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Union Berlin","homeTeam":"FC Bayern München","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-18T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83183,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":433,"baselineBasisPoints":[8783,765,452],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":777,"factors":[{"contribution":0.45444994653971316,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.14187421191756844,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":8790,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-17T18:30:10.713290Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"b1b9b00c148dfd26723dada580c9e7f39660a333451f2ecc9ded65b276d143ed","hash":"f61e5394980e5f65496a125051c40c9a1e8e8e5241fc43a7ffcdbf8dc7a84368"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Kaiserslautern liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. 1. FC Kaiserslautern schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +2,45, -1,14 und -1,31 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Eintracht Braunschweig","homeTeam":"1. FC Kaiserslautern","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83595,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1891,"baselineBasisPoints":[5427,2551,2022],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2437,"factors":[{"contribution":0.10763484527650269,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.01432775397414364,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.03977445059460503,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5672,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T11:00:33.242822Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"f61e5394980e5f65496a125051c40c9a1e8e8e5241fc43a7ffcdbf8dc7a84368","hash":"91e6f2f7d9b78ac84295627232f8833914daf357c59eeb6600b61987df1ea5d1"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Nürnberg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Nürnberg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,73, -0,44 und -1,29 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Nürnberg","homeTeam":"Karlsruher SC","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83597,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4543,"baselineBasisPoints":[2918,2410,4672],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2366,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.08626806708235416,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.20058855563801095,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.029619194944624103,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3091,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T11:00:33.242822Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"91e6f2f7d9b78ac84295627232f8833914daf357c59eeb6600b61987df1ea5d1","hash":"40521eef1b1c9559f255a271f3ea3f66dcc45d6ea3e33e3a5f2154c09b6509f2"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Osnabrück schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Holstein Kiel liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,45, -1,58 und +3,03 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfL Osnabrück","homeTeam":"Holstein Kiel","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83600,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2943,"baselineBasisPoints":[4288,3072,2640],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2914,"factors":[{"contribution":0.010117819599352653,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0,"direction":"neutral","strength":"none","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.0131855177488325,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4143,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T11:00:33.242822Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"40521eef1b1c9559f255a271f3ea3f66dcc45d6ea3e33e3a5f2154c09b6509f2","hash":"cdc784cdc87758b995b5ec726742983a47aa013fdc0e2a80426b872959944fa9"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"SC Freiburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +5,39, -0,67 und -4,72 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SC Freiburg","homeTeam":"Eintracht Frankfurt","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83186,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3484,"baselineBasisPoints":[3380,2664,3956],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2597,"factors":[{"contribution":0.019018490163808396,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.017753795614335214,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3919,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T13:30:08.303587Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"cdc784cdc87758b995b5ec726742983a47aa013fdc0e2a80426b872959944fa9","hash":"2a51ec104662bf2cab6562a6ce3cd7f19231657cde8eb9413df53de475aaab22"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"1. FSV Mainz 05 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FSV Mainz 05 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,11, +0,29 und -0,40 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FSV Mainz 05","homeTeam":"Borussia Mönchengladbach","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83187,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4618,"baselineBasisPoints":[2927,2415,4658],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2444,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.07291737427410673,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.02669710483548127,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":2938,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T13:30:08.303587Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"2a51ec104662bf2cab6562a6ce3cd7f19231657cde8eb9413df53de475aaab22","hash":"dcff9bb32cd140e7725261d56b64b38594c313a321cf5e31c0ed98aed54f5c19"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"1. FC Köln hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +4,10, +0,03 und -4,13 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Köln","homeTeam":"Hamburger SV","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83188,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3815,"baselineBasisPoints":[3202,2570,4228],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2573,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.044019105136718445,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.005678425822289882,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3612,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T13:30:08.303587Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"dcff9bb32cd140e7725261d56b64b38594c313a321cf5e31c0ed98aed54f5c19","hash":"c2ef0d308990ad2534afd170d3f24a0037eeb21a9e08678e69bd1d642bc270c7"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Augsburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. FC Augsburg schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,01, +0,16 und -0,17 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Augsburg","homeTeam":"SV Werder Bremen","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83189,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3959,"baselineBasisPoints":[3367,2657,3976],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2673,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.01769083846573414,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.16715712969834248,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.031861701055703094,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3368,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T13:30:08.303587Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"c2ef0d308990ad2534afd170d3f24a0037eeb21a9e08678e69bd1d642bc270c7","hash":"06d24e897c0ec8e7f36a5cba8875830e06398b59793648f1129b93c000cce8e0"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Borussia Dortmund hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Borussia Dortmund liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,16, +0,61 und -3,77 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Borussia Dortmund","homeTeam":"VfB Stuttgart","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83184,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4267,"baselineBasisPoints":[2936,2420,4644],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2481,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.0813825213575159,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.19103671965524852,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.040132999100163644,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3252,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T16:30:57.443613Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"06d24e897c0ec8e7f36a5cba8875830e06398b59793648f1129b93c000cce8e0","hash":"c3a948956bd044f906be1c53188fb1cf4c73cfb486cd67dd84c2bcc5ec4327b1"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":5,"matchId":83591,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T18:30:13.033276Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"c3a948956bd044f906be1c53188fb1cf4c73cfb486cd67dd84c2bcc5ec4327b1","hash":"316385d52cea12f420ce878c7406d8568a4280630d831e26a4ee0931b073b75e"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83606,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T18:30:13.033276Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"316385d52cea12f420ce878c7406d8568a4280630d831e26a4ee0931b073b75e","hash":"17e49f3004ca1aa22cf7ad516c28112a82dfcd1e3dbfec6dee6a9474311417ed"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Hertha BSC hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,62, -0,01 und -1,61 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hertha BSC","homeTeam":"Dynamo Dresden","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83598,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4286,"baselineBasisPoints":[3061,2492,4447],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2491,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.04538960738556462,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.20058855563801095,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.03858280850385843,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3223,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T18:30:13.033276Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"17e49f3004ca1aa22cf7ad516c28112a82dfcd1e3dbfec6dee6a9474311417ed","hash":"8e78f6ae41bea1158577006cbcee7ace779f5cf6e777137bc7d51a16513787a4"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":7,"matchId":83183,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-18T20:30:54.520384Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"8e78f6ae41bea1158577006cbcee7ace779f5cf6e777137bc7d51a16513787a4","hash":"ecdc6b087b6a985a9c642c4b020b1fa962cb1f8bc124b43262e32476a9c2c62e"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Bochum hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,79, -0,10 und +1,89 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfL Bochum","homeTeam":"Hannover 96","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83593,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2779,"baselineBasisPoints":[4361,3049,2590],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":3039,"factors":[{"contribution":0.030007293593502085,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.04298326192243092,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.021786311555826523,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4182,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T11:30:36.286244Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"ecdc6b087b6a985a9c642c4b020b1fa962cb1f8bc124b43262e32476a9c2c62e","hash":"f83b5eaf69f3174ea2321a57025009e83ffa77232e2f763f1d536b477e36dd60"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,61, -2,97 und +3,58 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC St. Pauli","homeTeam":"Energie Cottbus","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83607,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2874,"baselineBasisPoints":[4496,2988,2516],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2691,"factors":[{"contribution":0.013426951788297623,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.01432775397414364,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.000637278438553488,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4435,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T11:30:36.286244Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"c9c0e2d63b04b35166bef582a7c6d0ee9485fc7e3d350426903fb616b4b7d642","hash":"2f4a981704c7b6991b80b9e5fe77a73ba129f21d03a26fb2c56194daad9485f6"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"RB Leipzig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,21, -1,02 und +2,23 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV 07 Elversberg","homeTeam":"FC Schalke 04","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83190,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3330,"baselineBasisPoints":[3955,2938,3107],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2836,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.02951633416133194,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.04775917991381213,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.005695959310550735,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3834,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T15:30:16.243485Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"271525f738520270f50e180fb0b300ac6776bee3b8d05ca946ba772ab2e774ac","hash":"e5f48654a94300e58ac6d394417d58ae3d835592739a1be2207615bce6bc2629"},{"awayScore":4,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":3,"matchId":83187,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T16:00:25.960968Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"e5f48654a94300e58ac6d394417d58ae3d835592739a1be2207615bce6bc2629","hash":"f8c211b9160b45a03819a39a12d8a361d934ea9ccbb0e41a33d629c40f33e5aa"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"TSG Hoffenheim hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. TSG Hoffenheim liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,88, -0,27 und +1,15 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"TSG Hoffenheim","homeTeam":"SC Paderborn 07","kickoffUtc":"2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83191,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3583,"baselineBasisPoints":[3706,2826,3468],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2799,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.04806042353197687,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.020591672544690576,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3618,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T17:30:50.819253Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"f8c211b9160b45a03819a39a12d8a361d934ea9ccbb0e41a33d629c40f33e5aa","hash":"c62166a0a8f958d331fa636a5e0e05c27547c62455bb675caa8204dcde0332a5"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":0,"matchId":83184,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T18:30:09.326896Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"c62166a0a8f958d331fa636a5e0e05c27547c62455bb675caa8204dcde0332a5","hash":"bf260bf4615331ba00549483b5ecc4c1c6049e2eb6b58f2579f4c6522d5e2879"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83598,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-19T20:30:29.934868Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"bf260bf4615331ba00549483b5ecc4c1c6049e2eb6b58f2579f4c6522d5e2879","hash":"35306a37938436574cfcfad61328cb32d05b87bfa388fe761136682fb029230a"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83593,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T13:30:37.888168Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"35306a37938436574cfcfad61328cb32d05b87bfa388fe761136682fb029230a","hash":"8cf022ed79b39ef01e2ef2ed981f4a390f08fb1334773c7fea55f73dfc9e4bad"},{"awayScore":2,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83604,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T13:30:37.888168Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"8cf022ed79b39ef01e2ef2ed981f4a390f08fb1334773c7fea55f73dfc9e4bad","hash":"56246ea5bd9a435349fb18167d60a9a51bbfa10225e13332099136887213b40f"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83607,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T13:30:37.888168Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"56246ea5bd9a435349fb18167d60a9a51bbfa10225e13332099136887213b40f","hash":"b82051f532fc69497dd8fd0f5361ef058b5ea7b07f742614d12d10ae787a01e1"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":2,"matchId":83185,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T15:30:57.960214Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"b82051f532fc69497dd8fd0f5361ef058b5ea7b07f742614d12d10ae787a01e1","hash":"a108fe8a73c2010142bcdfb3c8f5c01a07e7d23517999b943ff9276b362cb9cf"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":0,"matchId":83190,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T17:30:12.505374Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"a108fe8a73c2010142bcdfb3c8f5c01a07e7d23517999b943ff9276b362cb9cf","hash":"fa7dac893a7c3d2828ca13fdbaaed0c035fd7af7142f13ce2b0544e1e84a87d4"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":3,"matchId":83191,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-09-20T19:30:26.826545Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"fa7dac893a7c3d2828ca13fdbaaed0c035fd7af7142f13ce2b0544e1e84a87d4","hash":"3363c573709b5d93667b91f6f4162f794caaf74869963ccbf2b354e9d4d493f3"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Heidenheim 1846 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die übrigen Hinweise sind ausgeglichen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +6,71, -3,77 und -2,94 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Kaiserslautern","homeTeam":"1. FC Heidenheim 1846","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83609,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2305,"baselineBasisPoints":[4344,3057,2599],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2680,"factors":[{"contribution":0.007511981946264308,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0,"direction":"neutral","strength":"none","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.0012384896282712206,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5015,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-08T16:30:06.940672Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"3363c573709b5d93667b91f6f4162f794caaf74869963ccbf2b354e9d4d493f3","hash":"39958e98ca2d88d72c410312ac4b53b9534eedb48c201ac2116f0a02bc5384d9"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Holstein Kiel liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Eintracht Braunschweig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,92, -0,82 und +2,74 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Holstein Kiel","homeTeam":"Eintracht Braunschweig","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83620,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3240,"baselineBasisPoints":[4054,2980,2966],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2898,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.06718157419044093,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.023879589956906068,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.016309407059445336,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3862,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-08T16:30:06.940672Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"39958e98ca2d88d72c410312ac4b53b9534eedb48c201ac2116f0a02bc5384d9","hash":"1ae0b4168a2846360356f40d3476fcee888160a7f64b76372dd4a7c8d31a70e6"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Borussia Dortmund liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Borussia Dortmund hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,71, +0,64 und +0,07 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV Werder Bremen","homeTeam":"Borussia Dortmund","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83192,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1157,"baselineBasisPoints":[7204,1646,1150],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":1710,"factors":[{"contribution":0.22012756673914297,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.12536784727375685,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.094190075048084,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":7133,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-08T18:30:41.956871Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"1ae0b4168a2846360356f40d3476fcee888160a7f64b76372dd4a7c8d31a70e6","hash":"9fc6fe63edfce01a4c761ce6fde2d780c3915164a32b0a25d5964ddbdf112683"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Energie Cottbus hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Energie Cottbus schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,00, -1,80 und -1,20 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Energie Cottbus","homeTeam":"SV Darmstadt 98","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83611,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3281,"baselineBasisPoints":[3752,2847,3401],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2667,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.010115964458937575,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.1074581548060773,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.01238780591643553,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4052,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T11:00:59.865939Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"9fc6fe63edfce01a4c761ce6fde2d780c3915164a32b0a25d5964ddbdf112683","hash":"97ea5db2daf35e644a4af4e39f3515f355085820c1579434ef551cc0a700f94a"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Magdeburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Hannover 96 schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -5,08, -1,83 und +6,91 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hannover 96","homeTeam":"1. FC Magdeburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83617,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3361,"baselineBasisPoints":[4266,3064,2670],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2881,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.026173422981740174,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.04775917991381213,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.030008515159583502,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3758,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T11:00:59.865939Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"97ea5db2daf35e644a4af4e39f3515f355085820c1579434ef551cc0a700f94a","hash":"8deea48c9430f8c8e2e16ebd32eae727451c3b0d06cab92a63c32aba5b56e0bc"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Osnabrück hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Dynamo Dresden liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -3,14, -2,19 und +5,33 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Dynamo Dresden","homeTeam":"VfL Osnabrück","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83622,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3037,"baselineBasisPoints":[4518,2978,2504],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2759,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.017021549242442258,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0358193849353591,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.01270202750227619,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4204,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T11:00:59.865939Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"8deea48c9430f8c8e2e16ebd32eae727451c3b0d06cab92a63c32aba5b56e0bc","hash":"2bd9b3fb1fd55b233ef89cb2e0581d3bfc9fc20ef7d8930da2967f3fa144bb02"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"TSG Hoffenheim hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. TSG Hoffenheim liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,95, -0,37 und -0,58 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Hamburger SV","homeTeam":"TSG Hoffenheim","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83194,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1647,"baselineBasisPoints":[6052,2243,1705],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2206,"factors":[{"contribution":0.08593890814207478,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1432775397414364,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.024236070459111296,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":6147,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T13:30:28.437951Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"2bd9b3fb1fd55b233ef89cb2e0581d3bfc9fc20ef7d8930da2967f3fa144bb02","hash":"7e05c13604129c726c9049cb419354f9424be5822cd0fae7e81897a3bae9d44e"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Bayern München liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. FC Bayern München hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -1,36, +0,79 und +0,57 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Bayern München","homeTeam":"FC Augsburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83196,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":7146,"baselineBasisPoints":[1476,1435,7089],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":1514,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.436120239348944,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.12536784727375685,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.1153338916046602,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":1340,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T13:30:28.437951Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"7e05c13604129c726c9049cb419354f9424be5822cd0fae7e81897a3bae9d44e","hash":"43915123d43a0555a1c66c6306ef50cbdd55bce2a426de2e09bebd1da4814d49"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Bayer 04 Leverkusen liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Bayer 04 Leverkusen schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -3,11, -0,65 und +3,76 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Bayer 04 Leverkusen","homeTeam":"1. FSV Mainz 05","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83197,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4010,"baselineBasisPoints":[3594,2772,3634],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2707,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.10933045465131165,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.01790969246767955,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.03845374191006665,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3283,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T13:30:28.437951Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"43915123d43a0555a1c66c6306ef50cbdd55bce2a426de2e09bebd1da4814d49","hash":"87170c59b0f7469e11bac2f06bcd174bda6f38952f763a02bbf09285b3939df7"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"SV 07 Elversberg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. SV 07 Elversberg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,02, +0,40 und -0,42 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV 07 Elversberg","homeTeam":"1. FC Union Berlin","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83198,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":5030,"baselineBasisPoints":[2668,2260,5072],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2300,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.12222820782810868,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.03567838191731357,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":2670,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T13:30:28.437951Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"87170c59b0f7469e11bac2f06bcd174bda6f38952f763a02bbf09285b3939df7","hash":"49de25185b0c6449dc905b282471cc07b124dacfc0bf9ec9dcf77f76b23d173e"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"VfB Stuttgart liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,60, -1,54 und +0,94 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfB Stuttgart","homeTeam":"SC Paderborn 07","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83200,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3363,"baselineBasisPoints":[3843,2888,3269],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2734,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.09733664026988006,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.01790969246767955,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.029577830240221103,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3903,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-09T13:30:28.437951Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"49de25185b0c6449dc905b282471cc07b124dacfc0bf9ec9dcf77f76b23d173e","hash":"a8c91bdbaad74d438dd1ff9f7a93fc14750bdc4d745de6a1512bd433e995fedd"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"RB Leipzig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. RB Leipzig liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Einschätzung stützt sich erst auf einige frühere Spiele. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. 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FC St. Pauli liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,03, +0,49 und +1,54 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Karlsruher SC","homeTeam":"FC St. Pauli","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83608,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2299,"baselineBasisPoints":[5189,2666,2145],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2715,"factors":[{"contribution":0.044592554463105005,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.011341342144063885,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4986,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T11:30:33.456426Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"08f38e2580c9c8211fc2b3b49121e34a3b1b2eabb5c32c2a8325fc11563b116e","hash":"8c9fdbbe94c6bbd08ee64551b043356ed733c037aaa80e36224664eaebf4aaf8"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Hertha BSC hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -6,12, +2,12 und +4,00 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","homeTeam":"Hertha BSC","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83613,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1939,"baselineBasisPoints":[6388,2073,1539],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2285,"factors":[{"contribution":0.11006425562860256,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1432775397414364,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.05125790894158988,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5776,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T11:30:33.456426Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"8c9fdbbe94c6bbd08ee64551b043356ed733c037aaa80e36224664eaebf4aaf8","hash":"f672f85268cce5c400d3c72b6907ff81352507357dc39ab11d5435a5a14f3f42"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Bochum schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +2,63, -1,38 und -1,25 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"DSC Arminia Bielefeld","homeTeam":"VfL Bochum","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83616,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2366,"baselineBasisPoints":[4542,2967,2491],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2829,"factors":[{"contribution":0.0078057584042895214,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.011939794978453032,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.015163197458720922,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4805,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T11:30:33.456426Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"f672f85268cce5c400d3c72b6907ff81352507357dc39ab11d5435a5a14f3f42","hash":"be1ea21884215798dd989fe9923cde9849cd62d65f14d674d1cc2a49fc27f373"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":3,"matchId":83611,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T13:00:15.890128Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"be1ea21884215798dd989fe9923cde9849cd62d65f14d674d1cc2a49fc27f373","hash":"0085b06691cf2f034375b5dd73c87a2e1db9f48fb018fdfd9f0c589cb8b63f2e"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":3,"matchId":83617,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T13:00:15.890128Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"0085b06691cf2f034375b5dd73c87a2e1db9f48fb018fdfd9f0c589cb8b63f2e","hash":"38677e31528b970cbde3267e8eb7360c3647c73e89f6222a5247b022949fa3d4"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83622,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T13:00:15.890128Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"38677e31528b970cbde3267e8eb7360c3647c73e89f6222a5247b022949fa3d4","hash":"33349ff6a972d145029e5625ae814b5c8818a6cdddeb92eda50518c23aade882"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"1. 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Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,15, -0,71 und +0,86 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Schalke 04","homeTeam":"SC Freiburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83195,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1913,"baselineBasisPoints":[5809,2364,1827],"dataQuality":"limited","drawBasisPoints":2293,"factors":[{"contribution":0.019842182982962156,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.1790969246767955,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.018386962502074385,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5794,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T16:00:16.124200Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"9a539d8220b49aa29b0dc2889d13944bc134f6f45ff354891470438f22f538bd","hash":"526d28331d3cadf3f1892cd6de72fc5521cda9b2ba9bf3e81dae7230fac9d996"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":6,"matchId":83193,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T18:30:47.282832Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"526d28331d3cadf3f1892cd6de72fc5521cda9b2ba9bf3e81dae7230fac9d996","hash":"a843f9da86bdaabd995bceae4c7319d5770417d5f55767d5383aefefbb1c7ee8"},{"awayScore":4,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":4,"matchId":83615,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-10T20:30:47.422103Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"a843f9da86bdaabd995bceae4c7319d5770417d5f55767d5383aefefbb1c7ee8","hash":"16495853ab7374c5b79a2c9186e9ca6748b0686082c4cb27039efb1d8ece83d0"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83608,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-11T13:30:10.888057Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"16495853ab7374c5b79a2c9186e9ca6748b0686082c4cb27039efb1d8ece83d0","hash":"700730e1cb073a6e02715dc7ed19f17442d5d42d0ca2006b5cc65e7898cebe18"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":2,"matchId":83613,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-11T13:30:10.888057Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"700730e1cb073a6e02715dc7ed19f17442d5d42d0ca2006b5cc65e7898cebe18","hash":"a93e5492b005c82285eca3e26fe5bebd1263a5caa9ceb6c0d1a5b2c3687241d9"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":0,"matchId":83616,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-11T13:30:10.888057Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"a93e5492b005c82285eca3e26fe5bebd1263a5caa9ceb6c0d1a5b2c3687241d9","hash":"78007049bec1fdc311adfd4e70b9dc436c2fe9cfbccc6ce3c73bf72058eba08b"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":2,"matchId":83199,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-11T16:00:11.197668Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"78007049bec1fdc311adfd4e70b9dc436c2fe9cfbccc6ce3c73bf72058eba08b","hash":"0ea3a9ffe34cbf8de8db1d96fc4c52debf8f6dbbcca3aea36bf83263c3bef823"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":2,"matchId":83195,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-11T17:30:11.322556Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"0ea3a9ffe34cbf8de8db1d96fc4c52debf8f6dbbcca3aea36bf83263c3bef823","hash":"5f77d65e7f4c9b8b6b2f26e67b96a2ad54518b39b93205d7d061fa5ebd3ac9fc"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Hertha BSC hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 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FC Nürnberg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Nürnberg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,23, -1,32 und +0,09 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. 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FC Köln hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Eintracht Frankfurt liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,47, -2,39 und -1,08 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Köln","homeTeam":"Eintracht Frankfurt","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83203,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2422,"baselineBasisPoints":[4470,3000,2530],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2761,"factors":[{"contribution":0.06990302921706174,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.026259713590962387,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4817,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-15T18:30:02.903260Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"eabe45e3d78fb72abc50cf60b675840176a2f85ac31edc91702a3a0483026f64","hash":"1e4421d9a0e5fdbefb4a41bda6f2196baa8847bdde2f2d3fd8fee05ac8c9a172"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"VfL Wolfsburg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. VfL Wolfsburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,43, -2,64 und -0,79 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FC Heidenheim 1846","homeTeam":"VfL Wolfsburg","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83626,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2148,"baselineBasisPoints":[5034,2739,2227],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2475,"factors":[{"contribution":0.056674397597638385,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.05117054990765586,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.0023630494228290486,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5377,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T11:00:35.998593Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"1e4421d9a0e5fdbefb4a41bda6f2196baa8847bdde2f2d3fd8fee05ac8c9a172","hash":"e4ca70e8f84b4ec7827cd8e7a5fbe1ad4ea474e9491f5ab63324dfb821a3d384"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Kaiserslautern hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Kaiserslautern schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,38, -0,46 und -0,92 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfL Bochum","homeTeam":"1. FC Kaiserslautern","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83628,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2225,"baselineBasisPoints":[4864,2819,2317],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2773,"factors":[{"contribution":0.01735728487320679,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.04093643992612468,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.022853928771434315,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":5002,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T11:00:35.998593Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"e4ca70e8f84b4ec7827cd8e7a5fbe1ad4ea474e9491f5ab63324dfb821a3d384","hash":"cc4a6572945afec09a3807def0d1e502aa27d7a3930717aac346043c615ed037"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"Eintracht Braunschweig hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. SpVgg Greuther Fürth liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,89, -1,47 und +2,36 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Eintracht Braunschweig","homeTeam":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z"},"matchId":83639,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2955,"baselineBasisPoints":[4231,3050,2719],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2903,"factors":[{"contribution":0.01155005733785153,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.030702329944593515,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.0021407321106350157,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4142,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T11:00:35.998593Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"cc4a6572945afec09a3807def0d1e502aa27d7a3930717aac346043c615ed037","hash":"07fd6d46f8b51911e58e778e5922ee3d7ae424b033d399256907d7a3851f926b"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"Borussia Dortmund liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Borussia Dortmund hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +0,95, +2,22 und -3,17 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"Borussia Dortmund","homeTeam":"1. FC Union Berlin","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83204,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":6090,"baselineBasisPoints":[1867,1726,6407],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":1948,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.25678247216960465,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.2149163096121546,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.09487491450764927,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":1962,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T13:30:07.992633Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"07fd6d46f8b51911e58e778e5922ee3d7ae424b033d399256907d7a3851f926b","hash":"d0ca14a11b5b1789e81e266b467912ce6db7fa4e262298b7a3293b78f499f482"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"VfB Stuttgart liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. VfB Stuttgart hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,48, -0,33 und +0,81 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"VfB Stuttgart","homeTeam":"Hamburger SV","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83206,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":4948,"baselineBasisPoints":[2796,2337,4867],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2304,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.17257997957152976,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.12894978576729277,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"strong","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.042382491716411494,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":2748,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T13:30:07.992633Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"d0ca14a11b5b1789e81e266b467912ce6db7fa4e262298b7a3293b78f499f482","hash":"deb4d2a698d1b3e6790ee9c9fa9a4c95ff4a78a49485332e392aabfe092a03fc"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"SV Werder Bremen hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. SC Paderborn 07 schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,15, +0,29 und -0,14 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SC Paderborn 07","homeTeam":"SV Werder Bremen","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83207,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2474,"baselineBasisPoints":[4547,2965,2488],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2994,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.010696657275282174,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.05731101589657456,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.01086223488375205,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4532,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T13:30:07.992633Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"deb4d2a698d1b3e6790ee9c9fa9a4c95ff4a78a49485332e392aabfe092a03fc","hash":"fd9f76f4751383a2fc31261d1576ac0850ad97c2c5f403e0dce9ef38cdd74d37"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"1. FSV Mainz 05 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FSV Mainz 05 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -2,77, +2,05 und +0,72 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. FSV Mainz 05","homeTeam":"FC Schalke 04","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83208,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3361,"baselineBasisPoints":[3829,2882,3289],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":3087,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.03611568458964361,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.004505598713398923,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":3552,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T13:30:07.992633Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"fd9f76f4751383a2fc31261d1576ac0850ad97c2c5f403e0dce9ef38cdd74d37","hash":"a7d15f470c1057321f7c99162638ae87a2c00589c0d71c0860d9041a6c2857ea"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Augsburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. SV 07 Elversberg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,27, -2,12 und +0,85 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC Augsburg","homeTeam":"SV 07 Elversberg","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83209,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":2834,"baselineBasisPoints":[4209,3042,2749],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2830,"factors":[{"contribution":0.05160908633855628,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.0023988143607116654,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"none","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4336,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T13:30:07.992633Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"a7d15f470c1057321f7c99162638ae87a2c00589c0d71c0860d9041a6c2857ea","hash":"9c941985973f02cdc92f4e10ac9ead83e95fb524e876cd46e7d5beb6413cc69f"},{"competitionId":"de.bl1","explanation":"FC Bayern München liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. FC Bayern München schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +3,91, -2,05 und -1,86 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"RB Leipzig","homeTeam":"FC Bayern München","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83201,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":1088,"baselineBasisPoints":[6941,1785,1274],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":1580,"factors":[{"contribution":0.2881301576041154,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"strong","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":0.028655507948287275,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.0773158110628443,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"medium","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":7332,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T16:30:08.228863Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026, /getbltable/bl1/2026, /getmatchdata/bl1/2024, /getmatchdata/bl1/2025","tableFavorite":"homeWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"9c941985973f02cdc92f4e10ac9ead83e95fb524e876cd46e7d5beb6413cc69f","hash":"32e35de0098af96a7d78dd222166f825536d87f8eb2c89c7ad05770d4f906423"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":0,"matchId":83632,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T18:30:38.739235Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"32e35de0098af96a7d78dd222166f825536d87f8eb2c89c7ad05770d4f906423","hash":"936702805d3a93710c53d5875968253233aa21f1a656eefe0f62de5072168404"},{"awayScore":1,"competitionId":"de.bl2","homeScore":1,"matchId":83641,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T18:30:38.739235Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"936702805d3a93710c53d5875968253233aa21f1a656eefe0f62de5072168404","hash":"84534278ed1171a9fe6a12b17a42276a0394fa281c885f43700187e49ddc84ea"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"FC St. Pauli hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Hannover 96 schnitt über mehrere Spielzeiten hinweg besser ab. Die Hinweise zeigen in verschiedene Richtungen. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,82, -1,00 und +1,82 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"FC St. Pauli","homeTeam":"Hannover 96","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83627,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3080,"baselineBasisPoints":[4103,2999,2898],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2899,"factors":[{"contribution":0.007486520356250217,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.0716387698707182,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":0.016027121270192898,"direction":"supportsHome","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4021,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T18:30:38.739235Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"84534278ed1171a9fe6a12b17a42276a0394fa281c885f43700187e49ddc84ea","hash":"e7e2c5fd32dded5fe4b8fe67f47ff1230a28aefba5706a503e92ef756292db25"},{"awayScore":0,"competitionId":"de.bl1","homeScore":1,"matchId":83203,"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-16T20:30:38.873943Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl1/2026","type":"result","prevHash":"e7e2c5fd32dded5fe4b8fe67f47ff1230a28aefba5706a503e92ef756292db25","hash":"fbed219cfabf6672da254b804ef6454c5ebf4e072598229934c92bef207c19da"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"SV Darmstadt 98 liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. SV Darmstadt 98 hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um +1,93, -1,94 und +0,01 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"SV Darmstadt 98","homeTeam":"Karlsruher SC","kickoffUtc":"2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z"},"matchId":83629,"model":{"awayBasisPoints":3143,"baselineBasisPoints":[3931,2927,3142],"dataQuality":"sufficient","drawBasisPoints":2733,"factors":[{"contribution":-0.059022908678025746,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"medium","type":"longTermForm"},{"contribution":-0.02046821996306234,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"goalDifference"},{"contribution":-0.009100062989592112,"direction":"supportsAway","strength":"weak","type":"elo"}],"homeBasisPoints":4124,"version":"v4.0.0"},"recordedAtUtc":"2026-10-17T11:30:50.853780Z","season":2026,"source":"OpenLigaDB /getmatchdata/bl2/2026, /getbltable/bl2/2026, /getmatchdata/bl2/2024, /getmatchdata/bl2/2025","tableFavorite":"awayWin","type":"prediction","prevHash":"fbed219cfabf6672da254b804ef6454c5ebf4e072598229934c92bef207c19da","hash":"b68d8e60a276d14b9609ed20d734510f607fef5cd29e0453deaed1c820791813"},{"competitionId":"de.bl2","explanation":"1. FC Magdeburg hat je Spiel die bessere Tordifferenz. 1. FC Magdeburg liegt bei der zeitgewichteten Tordifferenz aus dieser und zwei vorherigen Spielzeiten vorn. Ein ergänzendes Tormodell aus bisherigen Heim- und Auswärtstoren fließt zu 30 % ein. Gegenüber dem Basismodell verändert es Heimsieg, Unentschieden und Auswärtssieg um -0,19, -0,73 und +0,92 Prozentpunkte.","match":{"awayTeam":"1. 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